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Sarah paine – how hitler almost starved Britain

Britain's geographical position has always been both its greatest asset and most dangerous vulnerability. Sitting in the North Sea, uncomfortably close to the European continent, the island found itself surrounded by powers that could project force across land while Britain relied entirely on naval supremacy for survival.

The core problem was simple: Britain needed access to its empire—its oil supplies, food imports, and trade routes—to survive. Germany, France, and later Russia all wanted to close off these sea lanes. The Mediterranean passages through the Suez Canal required cooperation from Spain, France, Italy, and Turkey. When France fell and Italy entered the war, Britain faced a nightmare.

Sarah paine – how hitler almost starved Britain

The Strategic Catastrophe of 1940

By 1940, Britain found itself in genuine peril. Germany had already violated the Versailles Treaty by remilitarizing the Rhineland. Then came the takeovers: Austria, the Sudetenland, all of Czechoslovakia in 1939. These weren't random aggression—they were calculated resource grabs. Hitler needed not just the Rhineland's industrial capacity but also the oil fields of Romania and Poland to fuel his war machine.

When Russia and Germany divided Poland between them in 1939, Britain honored its alliance with Poland, triggering World War II. The situation grew worse when Stalin swapped sides and began coordinating with Britain against Germany—now facing one continental power instead of two.

Lessons from the Trenches

The generation that fought World War II had learned harsh lessons from World War I. In the first war, Britain sent young men over trenches into machine gun fire—a profligate waste of life that achieved little. The death toll was catastrophic. When World War II came, British strategists remembered this mistake.

The key lesson: never go beyond the culminating point of attack. If you push too far into enemy territory, you weaken yourself and invite counterattacks. In WWI, offensers continued for months, racking up hundreds of thousands of deaths for no gain. In WWII, Britain immediately pulled its big army off the continent after the Dunkirk evacuation—getting the French to cover their retreat while saving the British Army.

The Difference Between Wars

The diplomatic coordination in WWII was fundamentally different from WWI. In the first war, only two conferences attempted coordination among the Allies—the December 1915 and November 1916 Shanti conferences—and both failed to prevent Russia's collapse when the Romanov dynasty fell in early 1917.

By contrast, WWII saw simultaneous squeezing of Germany from all fronts—before America even entered the war. The ABC staff talks began coordinating with Atlantic conferences yielding the Atlantic Charter, which defined unconditional surrender objectives and post-war institutions. There was combined command of US and British forces, coordination between military and civil leaders, and offices in each other's capitals.

The difference was stark: Russia came to WWII with a massive army while Germany had another large army. Britain needed its own big army to fight them.

The Naval War That Almost Starved Britain

Germany's U-boat campaign almost succeeded in starving Britain of supplies. The German Navy sank terminal quantities of British trade—Britain depends not only on oil imports but roughly half its food supply. Malta, the Suez Canal, and the Mediterranean lay at the center of Italian ambitions.

The Royal Navy eventually convoyed troop transports and merchant shipping even before America entered the war—a complete reversal from WWI where they wouldn't deal with merchant marine until 1918. This shift proved crucial.

Britain learned to leverage the miracle of sea transport that gives access to the whole world, while land transport is a logistical nightmare where you can only move through countries that let you pass.

The seas gave mobility, access to theaters, markets, resources, allies, and sanctuary—making it harder for enemies to invade.

The Gallipoli Comparison

Britain tried one peripheral strategy in WWI—the Gallipoli campaign—which was miserably executed. It wasn't a joint operation between army and navy. The British Navy tried running the Dardanelles for two months without success. When Australian, New Zealand, and French troops finally landed, the Ottomans were ready with welcome parties. The invasion stalemated in three days but continued for eight months, taking 190,000 casualties with 55,000 deaths.

The Normandy landings in WWII represented everything learned from that failure: years of material buildup, coordinated disinformation to fool Germans about where landing would occur, and successful penetration into the continent.

Bottom Line

Britain's geographical position forced it into a peripheral strategy that ultimately worked. The lessons from WWI—don't send young men into machine gun fire, coordinate diplomatically before it's too late, convoy merchant shipping immediately—became the foundation of WWII success. Britain's biggest vulnerability was geography itself; its greatest strength was recognizing that vulnerability and using naval power to compensate for it.

The case study remains instructive: a country dependent on sea lanes must control those lanes absolutely, or face starvation. Britain learned this the hard way twice—and saved itself by learning.

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Sarah paine – how hitler almost starved Britain

by Dwarkesh Patel · Dwarkesh Patel · Watch video

The Germans almost sank a terminal quantity of British trade. It's close because Britain is dependent not only on oil imports but about half of its food supply. Malta Cree and the Suez Canal lie in the center of Italian ambitions. The Britains are in a world of hurt.

Fall of Norway, fall of France, blockade of Malta, fall of Cree. It is really bad news. Germany should have bought a completely different navy. skip the surface fleet, buy a lot more yubot.

Maybe they would have zapped the British before the United States gets its act together in either World War. If Hillary had just done the unloo and maybe done the Sudetan number in Czechoslovakia and quit, he'd be called Bismar II a genius. But that's not who he is. It turns out that the possibilities for maritime and continental powers are a little different.

Basically, a small subset of countries can defend themselves primarily at sea and that opens certain possibilities and others can't and that opens and closes certain possibilities. And I'm going to talk at this story from Britain's point of view, the country with the 360 you can't get me mode. And it's an instructive case for the United States of the possibilities and the perils of having this sort of position. So that is my game plan today.

And you can look at the great peninsula of Europe where Britain is located. And you can see this northern coastline for Britain where it's uncomfortably close to the continent and its enemies are sitting there. It's an interesting neighborhood. So here's my plan.

I'm going to talk about talk about these continental problems that Britain has been dealing with. If you think about it, Britain was always fighting France and then in 1871, Germany reun unifies and then the problems Germany and I'm going to pick up the story in 1939 when things are really bad for Britain. So I'm going to talk about first these continental problems and then I'm going to talk about how Britain tried to deal with it and first it has to do with getting sea control and then once you can do that finding some peripheral theaters where you might be able to fight and deal with the continental problem and you probably need allies and so that those are the first the first four topics then so ...