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The week observed: December 5, 2025

Joe Cortright delivers a searing indictment of how policy inertia and funding misalignment are actively sabotaging climate goals and housing affordability across the United States. This week's observation isn't just a recap of events; it is a forensic audit of the gap between our aspirational pledges and the brutal math of reality, revealing that our institutions are often failing the very people they claim to serve.

The Illusion of Climate Progress

Cortright turns his gaze to Oregon, a state often lauded for its environmental stewardship, to expose a glaring contradiction. He notes that while the state loves to talk climate action, "when it comes to actually reducing transportation emissions—the state's largest source of greenhouse gases—it's failing spectacularly." The data is damning: Portland metro area transportation emissions have increased 0.8 percent annually over five years, even as the state's official goal calls for cutting them by more than five percent per year.

The week observed: December 5, 2025

The author argues that this failure stems from a decade of "wildly optimistic assumptions" made by planners in 2009. They bet heavily on technology—cleaner cars, rapid electrification, and consumers ditching SUVs for efficient vehicles. As Cortright bluntly states, "Every single assumption proved wrong." Instead of a swift transition, Americans are keeping gas-guzzlers longer and buying bigger trucks, while electric vehicle adoption moves at a crawl.

The most frustrating element, according to Cortright, is the institutional response to this failure. When the Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) was supposed to conduct a reality check, staff recommended "essentially no changes to targets that are already being missed by miles." He calls this "policy malpractice dressed up as climate leadership—making ambitious long-term pledges while ignoring present-day failure." This framing is effective because it strips away the veneer of bureaucratic competence, showing that inaction is a choice, not an inevitability.

Critics might argue that technology adoption cycles are inherently slow and that blaming planners for market behaviors is unfair. However, the piece rightly points out that the 2009 rules explicitly required a reality check, and the failure to adjust course suggests a deeper institutional blindness to changing consumer realities.

With each passing year of inaction, the remaining window to address climate change shrinks.

The Hypocrisy of Philanthropy

Shifting to housing, Cortright highlights a disturbing trend where the very foundations dedicated to solving poverty are inadvertently fueling the crisis. Citing Nate Resnikoff's work in Inside Philanthropy, he reveals that at least $260 million in funding from 15 major foundations since 2018 has gone to nonprofits across California that have actively opposed pro-housing legislation.

The author zeroes in on organizations like PolicyLink, which received tens of millions from donors like the Ford Foundation, yet produced materials that "downplay any role for increasing housing supply as a way to deal with affordability and homelessness." Cortright notes that these groups opposed key YIMBY (Yes In My Backyard) legislation, such as SB 79, because they viewed it as a "trickle-down, market-based model." He argues that these anti-YIMBY nonprofits "continue to argue that legalizing more housing production in high-cost cities will actually raise rents, despite — again — the large and continually growing body of evidence to the contrary."

This section is a powerful critique of the non-profit industrial complex. It forces the reader to question who is really being served by these grants. The argument lands hard because it connects the dots between well-meaning donors and the tangible blockage of housing supply. It suggests that the fight for housing justice has been hijacked by narratives that prioritize ideological purity over material outcomes.

The Double Standard of Transportation Spending

In Milwaukee, Cortright identifies a stark disparity in how society values different types of infrastructure. He contrasts the intense scrutiny given to a $4 million annual subsidy for the city's "Hop" streetcar line against the multi-billion dollar, multi-year project to widen Interstate 94. The highway widening is projected to cost $1.7 billion for just 3.5 miles—roughly $500 million per mile.

Local columnist Dan Schaefer is quoted to illustrate the absurdity of the public reaction: "If I tell you they're going to be spending billions to widen a highway in America, nobody panics because it's all part of the plan. Spend a miniscule fraction of that on a light rail project and everybody loses their mind." Cortright uses this to highlight a "deep double standard in most discussions of transportation policy, with expensive and perennially ineffective spending on roads meriting no serious discussion, while even modest efforts to provide alternatives are put under a microscope."

This observation challenges the reader to reconsider the "inevitability" of road expansion. The piece suggests that our acceptance of massive highway spending is a cultural blind spot, while alternative transit is treated as a luxury or a political football.

Resilience in the Face of Disruption

Finally, Cortright offers a counter-narrative to the fear of reduced road capacity, drawing on the story of the Hammersmith Bridge in London. When the bridge closed in 2019 due to structural cracks, predictions of "carmaggedon" and economic ruin were rampant. Yet, six years later, the reality has been surprisingly different.

"When the bridge closed, about 25,000 vehicles crossed it daily and (Transport for London) TfL predicted a severe economic impact. Six years later, 9,000 of those journeys have vanished - not diverted to other crossings, but simply evaporated." Cortright explains that traffic evaporation occurred, leading to improved air quality and less congestion. More surprisingly, "consumer spending in the local area increased faster than in the rest of London, driven mostly by increased patronage for local-serving retailers."

This evidence is crucial for urban planners and policymakers. It demonstrates that "urban systems are much more resilient and adaptable than we generally think and that many trips get taken simply because there's transport capacity to provide the trip." The argument here is that our fear of disruption is often greater than the disruption itself, and that reducing car dependency can actually revitalize local economies.

Bottom Line

Joe Cortright's analysis is a masterclass in connecting disparate policy failures to a single root cause: a refusal to confront uncomfortable truths about how we build, fund, and move through our cities. The strongest part of the argument is the exposure of the funding hypocrisy in housing, which reveals a systemic disconnect between philanthropic intent and on-the-ground results. The piece's biggest vulnerability is its reliance on specific local examples that, while illustrative, may not fully capture the complexity of federal-level policy shifts. However, the call for honest accounting and aggressive course correction is a necessary intervention for any reader tired of performative climate and housing leadership.

Policy malpractice dressed up as climate leadership—making ambitious long-term pledges while ignoring present-day failure.

Sources

The week observed: December 5, 2025

by Joe Cortright · City Observatory · Read full article

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What City Observatory Did This Week.

Oregon’s Climate Failure: Transportation Emissions Keep Rising Despite Pledges

Oregon loves to talk climate action, but when it comes to actually reducing transportation emissions—the state’s largest source of greenhouse gases—it’s failing spectacularly. Portland metro area transportation emissions have increased 0.8 percent annually over five years, even as the state’s official goal calls for cutting them by more than five percent per year.

The culprit? A decade of wildly optimistic assumptions. When Oregon’s Land Conservation and Development Commission set targets in 2009, planners bet heavily on technology: cleaner cars, rapid electrification, consumers ditching SUVs for efficient vehicles. Every single assumption proved wrong. Americans are keeping their gas-guzzlers longer, buying bigger trucks and SUVs, and adopting electric vehicles at a crawl.

The 2009 rules wisely required a reality check every four years. That moment arrived December 5, when LCDC was supposed to reckon with these failures and adjust course. Instead? Staff recommended essentially no changes to targets that are already being missed by miles.

This is policy malpractice dressed up as climate leadership—making ambitious long-term pledges while ignoring present-day failure. With each passing year of inaction, the remaining window to address climate change shrinks. Oregon needs honest accounting and aggressive course correction, not more aspirational targets destined to be ignored.

Must Read.

Time for foundations to hold grantees accountable for NIMBY lobbying. In many ways, one of the biggest problems confronting the US--and a key cause of homelessness--is growing housing unaffordability, which is closely associated with local land use restrictions. A wave of reformers have tried to push back against the “Not in My Backyard (NIMBY) opposition, to make it easier to build more housing, to increase supply, lower rents, and improve affordability. But along the way, they’ve run into widespread opposition from ostensibly “progressive” groups, that have taken the side of anti-housing groups. Nate Resnikoff, writing in Inside Philanthropy argues that these groups have benefited significantly from foundation funding, from many of the foundations that purport to care about poverty and affordability. Resnikoff reports that

... at least $260 million in funding by 15 major foundations since 2018 to nonprofits across California that have actively opposed pro-housing legislation in recent years.

Resnikoff offers the example of Oakland’s PolicyLink, which has gotten tens of millions in grants from the Ford Foundation, the California Endowment and other donors. PolicyLink has produced NIMBY-themed communications materials like ...