← Back to Library

March 22, 2026

Heather Cox Richardson doesn't just report the news—she dissects the accelerating collapse of presidential norms with surgical precision. Her most chilling revelation? That Donald Trump’s erratic behavior isn’t a tactic but a symptom of dangerous incompetence, documented through his own words and the stunned reactions of allies he humiliates. This isn’t partisan commentary; it’s a contemporaneous autopsy of a presidency unraveling in real time.

The Iran Debacle: From Pearl Harbor to $14 Billion

Richardson opens with Trump’s jaw-dropping Pearl Harbor gaffe—a moment where historical ignorance metastasized into diplomatic sabotage. “President Donald J. Trump’s behavior is increasingly erratic as he lashes out at those he perceives to be enemies,” she writes, framing the Japanese prime minister’s “taken aback” reaction as Exhibit A. The core of her argument lands because it connects Trump’s childish defensiveness (“Who knows better about surprise than Japan?”) to catastrophic real-world consequences: the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20% of global oil. Former defense secretary Leon Panetta’s assessment—cited by Richardson as “he tends to be naive about how things can happen”—exposes Trump’s delusion that declaring victory solves anything. This isn’t just poor strategy; it’s a president operating like “kids” do, while holding the world economy hostage.

March 22, 2026

Richardson then pivots to Trump’s “frantic attempt” to reverse sanctions on Iranian oil—a move that hands Tehran $14 billion. She doesn’t just state the facts; she weaponizes contrast. Phil Gordon’s critique, which she quotes at length, highlights the staggering hypocrisy: Trump mocked Obama’s $1.7 billion payment to Iran as “insane,” yet now gives ten times that amount “without any concessions from Tehran.” Richardson’s reporting here is devastating because it shows desperation masquerading as strength—a pattern critics might dismiss as political theater, but her sourcing (Gordon, Panetta, Murphy) proves it’s systemic failure.

“We’re literally putting money into the pockets of the very nations that we are fighting right now. We’ve never seen this level of incompetence in war-making in this country’s history.”

DHS: Corruption and the Private Army

Richardson shifts focus to the Department of Homeland Security, where she reveals how Corey Lewandowski operated as a shadow secretary. “Trump is also under pressure over the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), which has been mired in news stories about corruption since former secretary Kristi Noem stepped down,” she states—then meticulously unpacks the rot. Her reporting on Lewandowski “sidestepping” his 130-day limit by “going into the building accompanying Noem” transforms abstract “cronyism” into visceral betrayal. The most damning detail? Lewandowski demanding “success fees” from prison contractors—a revelation that lands because Richardson cites six journalists across three outlets (NBC, NYT, ProPublica), making denial impossible.

This section’s power comes from Richardson’s refusal to let Trump deflect. When he threatens to deploy ICE agents to airports as “his own private army,” she dissects the mechanics: Democrats offered funding excluding ICE due to “abuses under Noem, Lewandowski, and Bovino,” but Trump insists on the anti-voting SAVE America Act. Her phrase “whom Trump appears to see as his own private army” crystallizes the danger—not hyperbole, but documented fact. Counterarguments about “political gridlock” crumble when Richardson notes ICE’s budget now dwarfs all other federal law enforcement agencies combined.

Mueller’s Ghost and the Erosion of Norms

Richardson saves her most emotionally resonant critique for Trump’s reaction to Robert Mueller’s death. “Not only is Robert Mueller getting under Trump’s skin, so, clearly, is his own failure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz,” she writes—a line that reframes Trump’s “Good, I’m glad he’s dead” tweet as symptomatic of his broader unraveling. Her tribute to Mueller’s career (“a lifelong public servant” who “refused to say his report ‘exonerated’ Trump”) isn’t nostalgia; it’s a benchmark for the norms Trump is torching. The contrast between Mueller’s integrity and Trump’s glee at his death lands because Richardson grounds it in Mueller’s own words: “I have always felt compelled to contribute.”

This section’s vulnerability? It assumes readers grasp why Mueller mattered—a risk for text-to-speech audiences. But Richardson mitigates it by summarizing his findings (“indicted thirty-four people, including six of Trump’s former advisors”) with prosecutorial clarity. Her inclusion of the Epstein document-shredding reports—though seemingly tangential—proves a pattern: Trump’s circle destroys evidence while he tweets “PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH.”

Bottom Line

Richardson’s strongest contribution is documenting how Trump’s incompetence and corruption aren’t isolated incidents but mutually reinforcing pathologies. Her biggest vulnerability is the sheer volume of scandals, which risks normalizing the unthinkable. Watch for whether Panetta’s warning—that declaring victory won’t fix what Trump broke—proves tragically prescient.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • How Democracies Die Amazon · Better World Books by Steven Levitsky

    How elected leaders can gradually subvert democracy from within.

  • Magic (cryptography)

    Trump's Pearl Harbor remark ignores U.S. intelligence's decrypted Japanese communications beforehand, revealing historical nuance about 'surprise' attacks.

  • Tanker war

    This obscure 1980s Iran-Iraq conflict over Persian Gulf shipping illuminates Iran's historical tactics for disrupting oil flows through chokepoints like Hormuz.

  • Bank Markazi v. Peterson

    The 2016 Supreme Court case forced Obama's payment to Iran by voiding sovereign immunity, explaining why the 'pallets of cash' were legally compelled, not voluntary.

Sources

March 22, 2026

by Heather Cox Richardson · Letters from an American · Read full article

President Donald J. Trump‘s behavior is increasingly erratic as he lashes out at those he perceives to be enemies. On Thursday he defended his failure to inform allies and partners about his February 28 attack on Iran by telling a Japanese reporter he wanted the element of surprise. “Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor, OK?” Trump said, referring to the Japanese attack on Hawaii that took place on December 7, 1941, five years before Trump was born. Sitting beside Trump, the prime minister of Japan, Sanae Takaichi, appeared taken aback. Japan is a key Pacific ally of the United States.

The president is under enormous pressure, as his war with Iran sparked Iranian officials to close the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of the world’s oil flows. This outcome was expected by previous presidents, but Trump seemed to think he could avoid it and now is stuck without an easy solution. As former defense secretary and Central Intelligence Agency director Leon Panetta told David Smith of The Guardian, “[I]f there was an escape here for Trump, it would be to declare victory and it’s over and we’ve been able to be successful in all of our military targets. The problem is he can declare victory all he wants but, if he doesn’t get the ceasefire, he’s got nothing. And he’s not going to get a ceasefire as long as Iran is holding the gun of the strait of Hormuz against his head.”

“He tends to be naive about how things can happen,” Panetta told Smith. “If he says it and keeps saying it, there’s always a hope that what he says will come true. But that’s what kids do. It’s not what presidents do.”

In a frantic attempt to lower oil prices, the administration on Friday lifted sanctions on Iranian oil currently at sea. Iranian oil has been sanctioned since 1979. The lifting of sanctions will enable Iran to sell about 140 million barrels of oil, worth about $14 billion, including to the United States and to China.

National security scholar Phil Gordon, who served as the White House coordinator for the Middle East, North Africa, and the Persian Gulf Region during the Obama administration, posted: “When Obama sent Iran $400m + $1.3bn in interest in 2016 Trump called it ‘insane’ and he and others spent a decade mocking ...