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London's air con era is here

Michael Macleod delivers a startling diagnosis of London's climate adaptation: the city is not merely warming up; it is quietly, chaotically retrofitting itself with inefficient technology while the government subsidizes the very grid strain that threatens to collapse it. This isn't a story about comfort; it is a forensic look at how policy inertia and climate reality are colliding in the capital's living rooms and underground stations. Macleod exposes a dangerous gap between the official narrative of green transition and the messy, sweaty reality of a housing stock designed for a colder past.

The Great Cooling Rush

Macleod identifies a seismic shift in British domestic behavior, driven by necessity rather than choice. He notes that while the cultural aversion to air conditioning was once strong, the heat is forcing a rapid change. "In the UK, heat has been seen as something to look forward to," he writes, quoting Professor Anna Mavrogianni of UCL. "You see media images of barbecues and people having a good time on the beach, and there's less emphasis on the adverse health effects, particularly for the more vulnerable segments of the population." This observation cuts to the heart of the problem: the national psyche is unprepared for the physiological toll of extreme heat.

London's air con era is here

The author argues that the housing stock is fundamentally mismatched with the new climate. "Most homes have been designed to retain heat, rather than getting rid of it," Macleod paraphrases Mavrogianni, highlighting a structural flaw that planning guidance has failed to address. Instead of a coordinated upgrade, the city is seeing a "bodged" response. Residents are installing cheap, mobile units that curl out of windows, creating a visual and auditory chaos that contradicts the city's aesthetic ideals. This ad-hoc approach is risky. As Macleod warns, the reliance on inefficient mobile units will put "substantial strain on the electricity grid" just as demand peaks.

Across the UK, the housing stock is in no way prepared for heat. That's because it has been optimised for a different climate, where these types of excess heat events were not that frequent.

The piece takes a sharper turn when examining the government's role. Macleod reveals that the administration is quietly subsidizing the installation of "air-to-air heat pumps"—essentially two-way air conditioning—through a £2,500 grant. While the marketing focuses on heating, the cooling function is the unspoken driver for many. Ed Conway, an economics editor, is cited as a "truther" for this technology, arguing that the current policy focus on "vague notions about what's 'right' for the climate" ignores what actually works for emissions and comfort. Conway suggests that for many London homes, replacing boilers with these units is "a better, cheaper option in the long run." Macleod's framing here is crucial: he suggests the government is inadvertently solving a cooling crisis with a heating policy, creating a social divide where renters are left behind while homeowners get the subsidy.

Infrastructure in the Dark

The commentary shifts to the city's public infrastructure, where the failure to adapt is even more stark. Macleod uncovers a bizarre irony: experimental cooling units installed in the London Underground in 2012 at Oxford Circus and Green Park were decommissioned in 2017 and have sat dormant for a decade. "The units at Oxford Circus circulate air and provide ventilation, however the cooling element failed in 2017," Nick Dent of Transport for London admits. This admission highlights a critical vulnerability in the city's transit resilience. While the Tube network expands air conditioning to new trains, the deep-level stations remain sweltering.

The human cost of this infrastructure failure is already visible. Macleod points to a violent altercation at the Hampstead Heath Lido, where rising temperatures turned a public cooling spot into a flashpoint for conflict. "We condemn the unacceptable behaviour that led to the temporary closure of the Lido," a spokesperson said, but the underlying cause remains unaddressed. The scarcity of cool public spaces is creating pressure that manifests in social friction. This connects to the broader theme of the "urban heat island" effect, where the density of the city traps heat, making public spaces like parks and lidos essential survival zones rather than just leisure spots.

Policy Paradoxes and Political Games

Beyond the heat, Macleod weaves in a critique of the city's political maneuvering, specifically regarding the pedestrianization of Oxford Street. He notes that the new Conservative leadership in Westminster is backing down from a legal challenge, admitting the plan is a "bit of a Temu plan" done on a budget. This retreat underscores the difficulty of local governance when central government, through a Mayoral Development Corporation, seizes direct control. The political theater continues with Dawn Butler's ambiguous campaign for the mayoralty, a "strange shadow race" where allies jostle without formally declaring, fearing to turn the current mayor into a "lame duck."

Macleod also highlights the absurdity of fiscal policy intersecting with culinary culture. The government's decision to slash VAT on "children's meals" has led high-end restaurants to create menus of lobster and steak for adults, simply because the items are small and cheap. Jamie Allsopp of Blue Stoops notes the goal is to let "everybody can feel the benefit of this new policy." While humorous, this vignette illustrates a broader disconnect: policy is often crafted with rigid definitions that ignore how they are actually exploited or adapted in the real world. A counterargument worth considering is that while the VAT cut is a clever loophole for diners, it represents a significant revenue loss for the Treasury without necessarily driving genuine economic growth or equity.

So much government policy seems to be focused primarily on vague notions about what's 'right' for the climate and far less on what people actually want, or what actually makes the most sense for long-term emissions.

The piece also touches on the labor unrest brewing in the West End, with Equity members voting overwhelmingly for strike action. The union's demand for "world class wages" for "world class stages" highlights the growing tension between the city's cultural prestige and the economic reality of its workers. This is not just about pay; it is about the sustainability of the creative industries in a city where the cost of living is skyrocketing while wages stagnate.

Bottom Line

Macleod's most compelling argument is that London is sleepwalking into a climate crisis, relying on inefficient, individual solutions because the systemic infrastructure is broken. The strongest part of the piece is the exposure of the government's contradictory stance: subsidizing cooling technology while failing to plan for the grid capacity it requires. The biggest vulnerability in the current trajectory is the social divide it creates, leaving renters and public transport users to suffer the heat while homeowners and new-build residents adapt. The reader should watch for the next summer's grid stress tests; if the "bodged" solutions fail, the consequences will be far more than just sweaty nights.

The risk is that Londoners will buy cheap mobile air con units that can be expensive to run, operate very inefficiently, and put substantial strain on the electricity grid.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • Passive cooling

    The article critiques the failure of City Hall's guidance to prioritize this specific architectural strategy over energy-intensive mechanical units in new London builds.

  • Urban heat island

    This phenomenon explains the physical mechanism driving the unprecedented heat levels in London that are forcing residents to bypass planning restrictions and install air conditioning.

  • Listed building

    Understanding the strict legal protections for London's historic housing stock clarifies why the article describes the housing as 'optimised for a different climate' and resistant to the retrofits needed for modern heatwaves.

Sources

London's air con era is here

by Michael Macleod · London Centric · Read full article

We won an award! London Centric has the best local financial and business journalism in the country, according to The Wincott Foundation. The judges said this newsletter uncovers “the seamier side of London’s business scene” from dubious snail farm operators to the tax-evading gift shops hosted in billionaire landlord Asif Aziz’s Trocadero building.

And yet. There’s no point doing all that local journalism if everything stays the same. As things stand (more on that below) Sadiq Khan will pedestrianise half of Oxford Street in just a few months’ time. The mayor will then proudly walk down the middle of a street that’s… lined with dubious gift shops operated by front companies registered to penniless students.

In recent months I’ve been approached by a growing number of politicians who have read or watched London Centric’s reporting on tax-evading gift shops and want to do something about it. In the process I’ve become an accidental tour guide, taking MPs on tours of the shops, explaining their business practices, and offering suggestions on how to fix it. They seem to be listening. If you’re a politician or policymaker who wants to solve this problem, just drop me an email.

And with a bit of luck and a bit more journalism, London Centric readers can get the authorities to crush the capital’s tax-evading plague of tat.

As for today’s edition, it’s mainly about the heat….

Londoners are rushing to install air conditioning. And the government is quietly subsidising it..

Last summer, we asked why so few homes in the capital have air conditioning. The answer was a combination of planning guidance, environmental concerns about the ethics of using extra energy, the cost of electricity, anxiety over whether the power grid supply can cope with high demand, and a vague notion that it’s not a very British thing to do.

The problem is that in response to the heat, people are taking matters into their own hands and bodging it. City Hall guidance says that London property developers should try to avoid installing air conditioning in new-build flats and first try other “passive” methods such as window shutters. But anyone who passes a new-build block of flats will already see the distinctive pipes from mobile cooling units curling out of the windows onto the balconies.

When Anna Mavrogianni, Professor of Sustainable, Healthy and Equitable Built Environment at UCL, started out as an academic in the ...