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For Hungarian minorities, no good election choice

This piece cuts through the noise of Hungarian election coverage to reveal a stark reality: for the country's most marginalized communities, a change in government may not mean a change in their daily lives. Tim Mak's reporting from Miskolc and Budapest moves beyond the usual polling data to expose how systemic exclusion persists regardless of who sits in the Prime Minister's chair. In a world obsessed with geopolitical maneuvering, this story forces us to confront the human cost of political stagnation for those who are already invisible.

The Illusion of Choice

Mak frames the election not as a binary contest between democracy and autocracy, but as a complex struggle where even the opposition is constrained by the very system it seeks to dismantle. He introduces us to Norbert Horvath, a Roma and queer activist, whose perspective anchors the entire narrative. "I really hope that I will be surprised as hell tomorrow," Horvath says, "but yeah, as a Roma, as a queer person, I don't see any kind of representation either in the Fidesz party or even in the TISZA party." This quote is devastating in its simplicity; it strips away the hype of the campaign trail to reveal a profound sense of political abandonment.

For Hungarian minorities, no good election choice

The author argues that the polarization in Hungary has reached a fever pitch, with over 100,000 people taking to the streets of Budapest chanting "Russians go home." Mak notes that this slogan, echoing the 1956 revolution against Soviet occupation, now carries a new weight amid reports of the current administration's covert cooperation with Moscow. While the opposition movement, led by Péter Magyar, appears to have momentum with polls showing a significant lead, Mak cautions against viewing this as a guaranteed victory for human rights. The core of his argument is that structural change is harder than leadership change. As he puts it, "Today's Hungary is a vivid example of how difficult it can be for proto-authoritarian systems to return to democratic norms, and of how a change in leadership alone is not always enough to produce big change in society."

In Hungary, if you are a Roma person, you are too much for the community. If you are a queer person, you are too much. If you are a Roma queer person, you don't even exist.

This framing is particularly effective because it challenges the Western liberal assumption that electoral turnover automatically resolves deep-seated social fractures. Critics might argue that any shift away from the current administration is a net positive, regardless of the opposition's flaws. However, Mak's on-the-ground reporting suggests that for minorities, the "lesser of two evils" is still an evil that leaves them vulnerable.

The Weight of History and Stereotype

Mak delves into the specific, grinding reality of anti-Roma sentiment, illustrating how it is woven into the fabric of daily life. He details how Roma children face segregation in schools, often misdiagnosed with special needs to justify separate, inferior education. The author highlights the hypocrisy of the ruling party, which has historically relied on Roma labor while simultaneously fueling the stereotypes that justify their marginalization. Mak cites a minister in the administration who controversially stated, "If someone has to scrub the toilets on our Intercity trains... then we have to turn to our domestic reserves. And our domestic reserves are the Hungarian [slur used in regards to Roma]."

This use of direct testimony from a government official is a powerful editorial choice, exposing the casual cruelty that underpins policy. Mak explains that despite this rhetoric, the administration has engaged in transactional politics, distributing tons of food to Roma communities to secure votes. He notes, "Orban relies a lot on Roma. There is a sort of consent amongst analysts was that Orban successfully convinced in general poor people including Roma in the countryside that it's him who gave them work and some stability." This creates a tragic paradox where the very people being demeaned are being courted as a voting bloc, a dynamic that Mak suggests is unlikely to shift even if the opposition wins.

The article also touches on the intersectional erasure faced by queer Roma individuals. Horvath, who proudly wears pink nail polish and dyed hair, describes the constant threat of violence and the legal barriers to activism. "I even had to stop organizing school lessons about Roma history as a community activist, because organizations could have been banned from teaching children under so-called 'LGBTQ+ propaganda' laws," Horvath recalls. Mak connects this to the 2021 law that banned LGBTQ-related content to minors, making Hungary the first EU nation to adopt legislation mirroring Russia's approach. This historical parallel adds necessary depth, reminding readers that the current political climate is not an isolated phenomenon but part of a broader regional trend of authoritarian consolidation.

The Limits of the Opposition

The piece concludes with a sobering analysis of the opposition's platform. While Péter Magyar's TISZA party has selected five Roma candidates—a move Mak acknowledges as "fine" but insufficient—it fails to offer a comprehensive roadmap for dismantling the systemic barriers facing minorities. "Every 10th person in Hungary is Roma... The year representation in the number even in the numbers would be at least 11 or 12 Roma people selected. It is five, which is fine, but we have to achieve better," Horvath argues.

Mak's commentary here is nuanced; he does not dismiss the opposition but refuses to paint them as saviors. He points out that Magyar, a former member of the ruling party, is shaped by the same conservative ideology that has dominated Hungarian politics for decades. The author suggests that while a TISZA victory might improve relations with the European Union and potentially alter the country's stance on the war in Ukraine, it may not fundamentally alter the social contract for the marginalized. "I really love daydreaming [about rapid improvement of human rights if TISZA wins]... But I don't expect that everything will be changed if it wins this election," Horvath admits.

This honest appraisal of the opposition's limitations is the piece's most valuable contribution. It resists the binary narrative of "good guys vs. bad guys" and instead presents a complex political landscape where hope is fragile and change is incremental. Mak writes, "I just want to experience a new regime. This is something that would be enough for me," capturing the weary desperation of a citizen who knows that even a modest shift in power is a monumental feat.

Bottom Line

Tim Mak's reporting succeeds by centering the voices of those most likely to be overlooked in the rush to analyze election results, revealing that for Hungary's minorities, the stakes are about survival rather than policy preferences. The piece's greatest strength is its refusal to offer false hope, instead presenting a clear-eyed view of how deeply entrenched discrimination can survive a change in leadership. The most critical takeaway for readers is that in proto-authoritarian systems, the path to genuine inclusion requires more than just a new face in the prime minister's office; it demands a fundamental restructuring of the social order that the current political spectrum has yet to fully address.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • Iran's Family Protection Law

    This 2021 legislation, which restricts LGBTQ+ content and education, provides the specific legal framework explaining why queer activist Norbert Horvath feels completely unrepresented by both the ruling Fidesz and the opposition TISZA party.

  • Hungarian Revolution of 1956

    The article notes the slogan 'Russians go home' was chanted at recent rallies, but understanding the specific historical context of the 1956 uprising against Soviet occupation reveals the profound irony and emotional weight of repurposing that anti-imperialist cry against current Russian influence.

  • Romani people in Hungary

    While the article mentions Norbert Horvath's identity, a deep dive into the specific socio-economic segregation and political marginalization of the Roma community in Hungary explains why a simple change in government is unlikely to be 'transformative' for this demographic.

Sources

For Hungarian minorities, no good election choice

Editor’s Note:

We can’t afford to miss events that impact Ukraine and the course of the war.

Our reporter is currently on the ground in Hungary, covering the elections.

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Today, Tim Mak, Mariana Lastovyria and Anne Applebaum will host a Substack livestream, where they’ll walk you through the main candidates, unpack our latest reporting, and outline what the results could mean for Ukraine.

Set your alarms and join our livestream at 1:30pm Pacific, 4:30pm Eastern, 9:30pm London, 10:30pm Budapest, 11:30pm Kyiv time.

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MISKOLC & BUDAPEST, HUNGARY—“I really hope that I will be surprised as hell tomorrow. But yeah, as a Roma, as a queer person, I don’t see any kind of representation either in the Fidesz party or even in the TISZA party,” said Hungarian Norbert Horvath, shaking his head.

In the center of his hometown, Miskolc, it’s impossible to take a step without eyes staring back at you. Every meter here and across Hungary, where elections are being held today, is covered with posters, stickers, and billboards bearing the faces of parliamentary candidates.

For Hungary, these are historic elections. Yet for most Hungarians, including Norbert himself, it is hard to imagine anyone other than Viktor Orbán coming to power.

No one has managed to do that for 16 years.

In the final days before the election, tension and polarization in Hungarian society have reached a peak. The main contenders — current Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party, and Péter Magyar with his TISZA party — held their final rallies across the country in a last effort to convince voters.

Two days ago more than 100,000 people took to the streets of Budapest for a rally and concert, urging others to vote against the current government. The crowd chanted “Russians go home,” one of the defining slogans of the 1956 revolution, when Hungarians rose up against Soviet occupation. Now the slogan carries a completely new meaning amid reports of the Orbán government’s covert cooperation with Moscow.

Support for TISZA is also reflected in opinion polls, giving many Hungarians hope for a change in power. According to the latest independent surveys, Péter Magyar is significantly ahead of Orbán. Almost 57 percent have already voted today on the elections, suggesting a tremendous mobilisation in the society.

For Hungary’s minorities, ...