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Evolution designed US to die fast; we can change that — jacob kimmel

Why Evolution Gave Us Short Lifespans

Most people assume our biology is perfectly optimized by millions of years of evolution. But what if instead, evolution barely tried to optimize for longevity? That's the provocative argument from Jacob Kimmel, president and co-founder of New Limit. His work on epigenetic reprogramming suggests aging might be one of the easiest biological problems to solve — precisely because evolution never spent much time trying to solve it.

The Missing Signal

During most of human evolution, the baseline hazard rate was extremely high. This means the odds of dying on any given day were steep — from diseases, predators, infections, accidents. Even absent aging, most people wouldn't survive long enough for natural selection to favor longer lifespans.

Evolution designed US to die fast; we can change that — jacob kimmel

If you're unlikely to reach old age anyway, there's no strong evolutionary pressure to extend your lifespan. The gradient signal for longevity is weak. Evolution selects for reproduction and offspring survival, not for living long after you've reproduced.

Kimmel points out that this same logic may explain why our fluid intelligence peaks around age 25-30 — that's when human populations were largest during evolution. We weren't selected to stay smart into old age because few people reached old age.

Negative Selection Against Longevity

But there's more. Even if positive selection for longevity was absent, there might be negative selection working against it.

Think of aging as a kind of regularization term in an evolutionary algorithm. A population full of older individuals actually slows down the genome's propagation. If you extend lifespan without eliminating aging, those older individuals consume more resources than they contribute. It's better to have two younger individuals reproduce than one older person keep living.

This creates a fitness penalty for longevity — another reason evolution didn't push hard on extending lifespan.

The Optimization Problem

The third factor involves evolutionary constraints. Evolution works like training a neural network: it can theoretically optimize anything, but finding the right path requires specific conditions.

Mutation rates limit how many changes you can make per generation. Too many mutations causes cancer. Population size limits how many variants can be screened simultaneously. For most of human history, infectious disease was the dominant selective pressure — shaping our genome around protection rather than longevity.

These constraints mean evolution simply didn't have enough computational "budget" to fully optimize for long, healthy lives.

Evolution never spent much time optimizing for longevity, which means there's low-hanging fruit for intervention.

Counterpoints

Critics might argue that this framework underestimates the complexity of aging itself — that we've already made significant progress in treating age-related diseases through other approaches. Others might point out that evolutionary arguments, while intellectually compelling, don't necessarily translate into easy biological interventions.

Bottom Line

Kellogg's core argument is compelling: evolution spent relatively little time optimizing for longevity because the conditions during most of human history simply didn't require it. This creates an opportunity — if aging wasn't strongly selected, it might be easier to intervene than if evolution had optimized against it. The biggest vulnerability is practical: understanding why we age doesn't automatically mean we know how to stop aging. But the evolutionary logic suggests we're not fighting millions of years of optimization — we're fighting a much smaller biological constraint.

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Sources

Evolution designed US to die fast; we can change that — jacob kimmel

by Dwarkesh Patel · Dwarkesh Patel · Watch video

You always have to start by asking yourself, did evolution spend a lot of time optimizing this? If yes, my job is going to be insanely hard. If no, potentially there are some lowhanging fruit. And so I think that puts human aging and longevity really in this category of problem in which it should be relatively speaking easy to try and intervene and provide health.

We have a gene called TRIM 5 alpha. Trim 5 alpha once protected against an HIV like pathogen. It's currently protecting against a virus which no longer exists and you can edit it back to actually restrict HIV dramatically. You can reprogram a cell's type and a cell's age simultaneously just by turning on four genes.

Out of the 20,000 genes in the genome, the tens of millions of biomolelecular interactions, just four genes is enough. That's a shocking fact. Today, I have the pleasure of chatting with Jacob Kimmel, who is president and co-founder of New Limit, where they epigenetically reprogram cells to their younger states. Jacob, thanks so much for coming on the podcast.

>> Thanks so much for having me. Looking forward to the conversation. >> All right, first question. What's the first principles argument for why evolution just like discards us so easily?

Look, I know evolution cares about our kids, but if we have longer, healthier lifespans, we can have more kids, right? Or we can care for them longer, we can care for our grandkids. So, is there some plyotropic effect that anti-aging medicine would have which actually selects against you staying young for longer? >> Yeah.

So, I think there are a couple different ways one can tackle this. One is you have to think about what's the selective pressure that would make one live longer and encode for higher health over longer durations. Do you have that selective pressure present? There's another which is are there any anti- selective pressures that are actually pushing against that.

And there's a third piece of this which is something like the constraints of your optimizer. If we think about the genome as a set of parameters and the optimizer is natural selection, then you've got some constraints on how that actually works. You can only do so many mutations at a time. You have to kind of spend your steps that update your genome in certain ways.

So tackling ...