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America's most (and least) popular politicians in 2026

G. Elliott Morris cuts through the noise of ideological labeling to reveal a stark truth: American voters are not rejecting left-wing ideas, they are rejecting weak leadership. In a landscape often dominated by abstract debates about party platforms, this analysis offers something rarer—a granular look at how Americans actually feel about specific individuals versus the organizations they represent. The most surprising claim? That the "Democratic Tea Party" narrative is a misdiagnosis of a deeper crisis where voters crave combativeness over caution.

The Person Over the Party

Morris challenges the conventional wisdom that emerged from recent New York primary victories, where candidates endorsed by Zohran Mamdani defeated establishment incumbents. While centrist strategists like Liam Kerr of WelcomePAC argued these wins were a "cautionary tale" about ideological polarization, Morris suggests this framing misses the mark entirely. He writes, "If, for example, Zohran Mamdani is more popular than the DSA [Democratic Socialists of America], then it's not right to characterize all DSA politicians as 'toxic,' as Kerr does."

America's most (and least) popular politicians in 2026

This distinction is crucial because it shifts the focus from abstract ideology to personal brand. The data shows that while only 5% of Americans rate the Democratic Socialists of America favorably, figures like Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani poll significantly higher among Democrats than the party establishment itself. Morris notes that "Democrats want to vote for Democrats who fight," arguing that the backlash against leaders like Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries—who sit at a dismal 30/100 on the feeling thermometer—is not about being too liberal, but about being perceived as ineffective.

The apparent real-world demand among Democrats and independents who lean toward Democrats for "fighters" is proof this polling is picking up on something real.

The argument holds water when you consider the historical context of insurgent movements within parties; just as the Tea Party movement was driven by a desire to punish perceived weakness rather than pure fiscal conservatism, the current Democratic shift seems driven by a hunger for resilience against external threats. However, critics might note that conflating "fighting" with policy effectiveness is risky; a candidate who fights hard but loses elections offers little value to a party seeking power. Morris acknowledges this tension but suggests the current electorate prioritizes the signal of strength over the immediate calculation of winnability in safe seats.

The Establishment's Brand Problem

The most damning data point in Morris's analysis is not about the left, but about the center. He reveals that "the only Democrats to poll worse than Donald Trump are the party's Congressional leadership: Chuck Schumer is at 30 and Hakeem Jeffries at 36." This inversion of expectations—where the opposition leader polls higher than one's own party chiefs—is a profound indictment of the current Democratic strategy.

Morris writes, "In general, all party organizations are very unpopular... I find discourse on this subject severely lacking in a few ways, but mostly that it centers on favorability toward parties but doesn't deal at all with politicians." This observation reframes the entire political conversation. Instead of asking why the Democratic brand is struggling, we should be asking why the people running the brand are so deeply unpopular compared to their ideological allies.

The data also highlights a fascinating split among Republicans. While Tucker Carlson is viewed as the most disliked figure overall at 28, his rating among Republicans is only 40/100. Morris points out that this "serves as a good reminder that the MAGA media wing of the GOP does not speak for the rest of it." This nuance is often lost in headlines that treat the Republican coalition as a monolith, ignoring the friction between the media ecosystem and the general base.

The average Democrat feels about 10% warmer toward Zohran Mamdani than Gavin Newsom.

This gap suggests that the "moderate" path to victory may be less appealing to the party's base than previously assumed. While figures like Pete Buttigieg and Kamala Harris remain solidly popular, they trail behind the insurgents who are perceived as more willing to take risks. The implication is clear: voters are not looking for a return to the status quo; they are looking for a new kind of combatant.

Bottom Line

Morris's strongest contribution is his insistence that "weakness" is the primary liability facing Democrats, not ideology. By separating the popularity of individuals from their party labels, he exposes a disconnect between the establishment's self-perception and the electorate's reality. The argument's biggest vulnerability lies in its reliance on current polling which may shift as general election dynamics change, but for now, it offers a necessary corrective to the narrative that the left is out of step with the public. Watch closely: if the administration continues to prioritize institutional caution over the "fighter" persona voters are demanding, the 2028 landscape could look very different than Washington expects.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • WelcomePAC

    This centrist super PAC, founded specifically to counter the influence of groups like the DSA by funding moderate candidates in open primaries, provides the organizational context for Liam Kerr's argument that left-wing victories are a cautionary tale rather than a movement.

  • Brad Lander

    As the former NYC Comptroller who unseated an establishment-backed incumbent with DSA support, Lander serves as a concrete case study for the article's central tension between individual politician popularity and the broader unpopularity of their affiliated organizations.

  • Democratic Socialists of America

    Understanding the specific structure and history of this organization clarifies why the article distinguishes between the low favorability ratings of the party apparatus versus the potential warmth voters feel toward its individual endorsed candidates like Mamdani.

Sources

America's most (and least) popular politicians in 2026

by G. Elliott Morris · G. Elliott Morris · Read full article

From time to time, Strength In Numbers accepts paid sponsorships on free, public posts to help pay for the costs of running this business. This money covers things like hired help with the podcast and polling, costs of data acquisition, and also helps offset churn in the monthly/yearly subscriber base. This post contains one short blurb from a paying sponsor, clearly marked, about halfway down the article.

Our June Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll asked Americans to rate a dozen political figures on a scale from 0 to 100, with 0 representing a completely “cold” feeling toward the person and 100 representing a “warm” feeling. Who’s popular — and who’s not — is fairly revealing.

This turns out to be an incredibly timely survey question. Last Tuesday, June 23, three Democratic candidates for U.S. House seats that were endorsed by Zohran Mamdani, the democratic socialist mayor of New York, won their primaries. Of note, former New York City comptroller Brad Lander buried incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman — whom Hakeem Jeffries, the Democrats’ leader in the House, had personally backed — by more than 30 points, and Darializa Avila Chevalier, a 32-year-old organizer, unseated five-term Rep. Adriano Espaillat by 3. Claire Valdez, a New York State Rep., won a primary for an open seat spanning Brooklyn and Queens by 20 points.

Also of note: all three of the above Mamdani-endorsed winners are allies or members of the Democratic Socialists of America. As such, the results were immediately interpreted as evidence for a Tea-Party-esque movement among Democrats to support lefty candidates and punish the establishment. After the wins, the DSA shared the graphic below, from a CNN segment, on Twitter/X:

Centrists in the Democratic Party have responded to Tuesday’s losses by pointing out that, yeah, the DSA might be popular among Democrats, but it’s not popular among the general public — so these wins ought to be viewed as a cautionary tale about ideological polarization. Liam Kerr, who helps run the centrist Super PAC WelcomePAC, posted the following results from a Marquette University Law School poll:

Reading the piece and social media posts, Kerr also appears to be trying to popularize the line that only 5% of Americans rate the DSA as “Very Favorable.” That’s true, if a bit misleading in terms of data: Only 12% of Americans rate the Republican Party and Democratic Party favorably, per YouGov. Twelve percent is higher than ...