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Why Ukraine struggles to mobilize

Tim Mak strips away the heroic veneer of wartime Ukraine to expose a society fracturing under the weight of its own survival. This is not a story of battlefield tactics, but of a terrifying internal collision where the state's desperate need for soldiers clashes with a civilian population pushed to the brink of violence. The piece forces a difficult reckoning: when the mechanism of national defense becomes a source of domestic terror, the war for independence faces a threat from within that no foreign adversary can match.

The Human Cost of the Draft

Mak anchors this complex crisis in the personal devastation of Myroslava Liashuk, a military veteran turned recruiter who now faces death threats from her own neighbors. The author writes, "I'm made out to be a monster, like I'm a criminal against my own people…They even posted my full name, mentioned articles of the criminal code they say I should be charged under." This is not merely bureaucratic friction; it is a social breakdown where the enforcers of the draft are being doxxed and vilified by the very citizens they are trying to protect.

Why Ukraine struggles to mobilize

The core of Mak's argument is that the Territorial Conscription Centers (TCCs) have become the flashpoint for a society running out of patience. With nearly 12,000 human rights complaints filed since 2022, the system is perceived not as a shield, but as a predator. Mak notes that recruiters, driven by quotas to replace fallen soldiers, often operate with "a certain sense of impunity," leading to aggressive roundups that fuel a vicious cycle of resentment. This framing is crucial because it moves the conversation beyond simple "manpower shortages" to the psychological toll of a conscription process that feels arbitrary and abusive to the public.

Critics might argue that in an existential war, the state must be granted broad leeway to ensure its survival, and that highlighting these abuses aids the enemy's narrative. However, Mak effectively counters this by showing that the current approach is self-defeating: the fear generated by aggressive tactics is driving men into hiding, thereby shrinking the pool of willing recruits rather than expanding it.

"Time has changed, people have run out. No one wants to go [to the frontline]."

The article details how this tension has escalated into physical violence, from the stabbing of a recruiter in Kharkiv to a civilian in Lviv holding a knife to a child's throat just to deter a patrol. Mak observes, "There are [always] videos, recorded by a civilian on a mobile phone. Not even the full picture of what happened, just a fragment. And usually, everyone sees only the moment when a clash has already started." This insight into the information war is vital; the public sees only the explosion, not the fuse, allowing Russian disinformation to weaponize these isolated incidents to deepen the divide.

Institutional Failure and Corruption

The coverage then pivots to the rot within the system itself, detailing financial scandals and the recruitment of unfit soldiers. Mak reports that police recently investigated alleged illicit enrichment totaling over 92 million hryvnias across 16 regions, while other reports surfaced of TCCs forcibly pushing civilians into minibuses or demanding bribes. The author writes, "TCC is, in a certain way, a force-based structure; they felt their power over the people who were brought in."

This section is particularly damning because it highlights a failure of oversight that mirrors historical struggles in other conflict zones. Much like the early days of the Territorial Defence Forces in 2014, where volunteer enthusiasm outpaced command structure, the current mobilization apparatus lacks the necessary checks and balances. Mak points out that TCCs are sometimes sending men with serious health conditions, including drug addiction or tuberculosis, to the front lines, a practice that endangers both the individual and the unit.

The author paraphrases the experience of a medical commission worker named Oleksii, who notes that TCCs could bring "those struggling with drug addiction, alcohol intoxication, or serious illnesses such as HIV or tuberculosis" for examination. This suggests a "Goodhart's law" dynamic at play: when the measure (number of recruits) becomes the target, the quality of the measure collapses. The administration's recent announcements of reforms, such as increased salaries and clearer service terms, are framed by Mak as uncertain and potentially too late to stop the bleeding.

"For infantry it's almost universally common for them to spend a month on position at a time."

This quote from a foreign volunteer underscores the human reality behind the statistics: soldiers are being worn down without rotation, a direct consequence of the mobilization bottleneck. The administration's inability to provide a steady stream of fresh troops is not just a logistical failure; it is a moral crisis that erodes the will to fight.

Bottom Line

Mak's reporting succeeds in humanizing the abstract concept of "mobilization failure," revealing a system where the state's survival instincts are actively undermining its social cohesion. The strongest part of the argument is the demonstration that aggressive conscription tactics are counterproductive, driving a wedge between the military and the populace that is as dangerous as any foreign invasion. The biggest vulnerability lies in the timeline; while the administration promises reform, the article suggests that without immediate, transparent accountability for corruption and abuse, the cycle of violence and evasion will only deepen. The world must watch not just the front lines, but the recruitment centers, for that is where the next chapter of this war will be written.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • The Logic of Violence in Civil War Amazon · Better World Books by Stathis N. Kalyvas

  • Territorial Defence Forces (Ukraine)

    Understanding the distinction between these volunteer units and the regular conscript army clarifies why the article describes a societal fracture between those who chose to fight and those being forcibly drafted.

  • Mobilization

    This specific legislation defines the legal quotas and powers of the Territorial Conscription Centers, explaining the bureaucratic pressure that drives the aggressive recruitment tactics described in the text.

  • Goodhart's law

    The article's description of recruiters meeting quotas by violating human rights illustrates this economic principle where a measure becomes a target and ceases to be a good measure, leading to the perverse incentives fueling the conflict.

Sources

Why Ukraine struggles to mobilize

Editor’s Note:

Today’s story adds nuance to the story of wartime Ukraine. But we believe we cannot ignore problems in Ukraine, even during wartime.

We often write about the strength, resilience, and heroism of Ukrainians. But it is also important to address difficult and uncomfortable topics, in particular, the challenges of mobilization and how the war is changing society.

If you support our journalistic work, subscribe to us so as not to miss important news.

This Wednesday, April 13th, Tim Mak and Mariana Lastovyria will host a Substack livestream to discuss a potential attack on NATO countries. The special guest is Mart Kuusk, a volunteer in the Estonian Defense League. Set your alarms and join our livestream at 12 pm Pacific, 3 pm Eastern, 8 pm London, 10 pm Kyiv time.

On your Substack app or www.counteroffensive.news!

KYIV, Ukraine — Her phone was blinking nonstop from incoming messages. Friends and colleagues were sending Myroslava the same TikTok video with her face and personal information, accusing her of crimes for being part of the Territorial Conscription Centers that lead mobilization for the military draft in Ukraine.

The comment section was full of phrases like “shoot her” and “send her to the front line.” Myroslava was being accused of justifying the beatings of civilians by military recruiters.

“I’m made out to be a monster, like I’m a criminal against my own people…They even posted my full name, mentioned articles of the criminal code they say I should be charged under,” said Myroslava Liashuk, head of the Communications Group of Vinnytsia Territorial Conscription Center (TCC) and Social Support in central-western Ukraine.

A screenshot from a TikTok video with accusations against Myroslava, saying that she “justified the beating and abduction of civilians,” “the TCC’s attacks on civilians,” “the abduction of a blogger and his political persecution,” hitting 384,000 views.

Myroslava’s story is not an isolated case, and is an example of an unresolved conflict that has long been brewing in society between civilians and the military.

Recruiters who serve at the Territorial Conscription Centers, of which there are more than 200 main centers across the country, have to meet mobilization quotas to compensate for fallen soldiers and to be able to carry out rotations on the front lines. This is where a vicious cycle starts. The TCCs, whose work is poorly monitored, can sometimes exceed their authority and aggressively round up civilians who are ...