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After no kings, it’s time to escalate

Eric Blanc cuts through the prevailing doom by arguing that the path to saving American democracy isn't through legal loopholes or waiting for the next election, but through immediate, disruptive nonviolent resistance. While much of the political discourse fixates on the inevitability of authoritarian consolidation, Blanc brings a startling statistical counterweight: historical data showing that over half of modern autocratization episodes are reversed within five years. This isn't just a call to protest; it is a strategic blueprint for targeting the specific institutional pillars that allow an autocracy to function.

The Myth of Inevitability

Blanc opens by dismantling the fatalism that has paralyzed many progressives. He writes, "Trump would certainly like us to believe he's unstoppable," but immediately pivots to evidence that this narrative is a strategic tool of the regime rather than a reality. The author points out that relying on the courts has proven naive, noting that the Supreme Court has effectively "given a green light to Trump's power grab" and may soon dismantle the Voting Rights Act. Instead of despair, Blanc offers a data-driven perspective on the fragility of authoritarian rule.

After no kings, it’s time to escalate

He leans heavily on research by Marina Nord and colleagues, which found that "52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years." This statistic is the article's anchor. It reframes the current crisis not as a unique, unwinnable catastrophe, but as a historical pattern that has been broken repeatedly. Blanc argues that "authoritarian consolidation is perhaps more difficult than the existing literature sometimes posits," suggesting that the window for reversal is still wide open.

Critics might argue that comparing the United States to historical authoritarian regimes in the Global South ignores the unique resilience of American institutions. However, Blanc anticipates this by highlighting that the very institutions we trust are currently "bending the knee," making the historical comparison of institutional collapse highly relevant. The danger lies not in the comparison itself, but in the complacency it might breed if we assume our system is immune.

"History shows us that when authoritarianism rears its head, whether it takes root depends on the labor movement's response."

The Cost of Inaction

The author is scathing in his assessment of the current response from organized labor and progressive groups. He notes that while individuals like Chicago Teachers Union president Stacy Davis Gates understand that the movement "won't be stopped just in the courts or at the ballot box," the broader institutional response has been lackluster. Blanc writes, "Unfortunately, most progressive groups, unions, and churches have not yet seriously pivoted to the new terrain of rapidly consolidating authoritarianism."

He identifies "institutional inertia" and a fear of alienating members as the primary drivers of this paralysis. The argument here is that the risk of inaction far outweighs the risk of disruption. Blanc points to whistleblowers like Ellen Mei and Paul Osadebe, who put their careers on the line to expose the erosion of public services, as the model for the courage required now. He asserts that "the riskiest option is to do nothing," a stark reminder that the status quo is not a safe harbor.

This framing is effective because it shifts the moral burden from the abstract concept of "resistance" to the concrete reality of institutional complicity. By highlighting specific individuals who are already risking their livelihoods, Blanc makes the call to action feel urgent and personal rather than theoretical.

Escalation and Disruption

Blanc moves from diagnosis to prescription with two concrete tactical proposals: "Freedom Fridays" and a "No Kings, No Business As Usual" day of action. The first idea draws inspiration from the "Fridays for Future" climate strikes, suggesting that high school students and teachers could lead walkouts to physically block immigration enforcement actions. He envisions a chain reaction where "one city shows it's possible, there's a good chance this tactic would quickly spread to other cities."

The second proposal targets the "pillars of support" that sustain any regime. Blanc argues that authoritarian rulers survive only through the cooperation of businesses, schools, and the civil service. He suggests a coordinated campaign where these institutions are pressured to withdraw support, potentially culminating in a civic shutdown. "Our best bet might be to launch a concerted organizing campaign culminating in a 'No Kings, No Business As Usual' day of action," he writes. This would involve a spectrum of disruption, from calling in sick to closing storefronts, designed to make the cost of supporting the regime too high for elites to ignore.

A counterargument worth considering is whether such broad-based disruption could alienate the very working-class voters the movement needs to win over, particularly those who rely on the stability of these institutions. Blanc addresses this by emphasizing the need for deep, local organizing to explain how authoritarianism directly harms ordinary people through "higher prices, fewer good jobs, and less safety." The success of this tactic hinges entirely on the ability to connect abstract democratic norms to immediate economic survival.

"Nothing dissipates despair like a clear plan to win with easy, actionable steps for involving millions of ordinary people."

Bottom Line

Eric Blanc's strongest contribution is the shift from abstract anxiety to concrete, historically grounded strategy, proving that authoritarianism is reversible if the right levers are pulled. The argument's biggest vulnerability lies in the immense difficulty of coordinating the widespread, risk-taking behavior required to execute a "No Kings" shutdown in a polarized society. Readers should watch for whether the proposed tactics can move beyond the progressive echo chamber to truly engage the broader, risk-averse public.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • Gene Sharp

    The article advocates for nonviolent resistance tactics to combat authoritarianism. Gene Sharp was the leading scholar on nonviolent action whose work 'From Dictatorship to Democracy' has been used by pro-democracy movements worldwide, directly informing the strategic approach the article recommends.

  • Fridays for Future

    The article explicitly references 'Fridays for Future' high-school-led climate strikes of 2018-19 as a model for the proposed 'Freedom Fridays' tactic. Understanding how this movement spread globally would give readers concrete insight into the viral organizing strategy being proposed.

Sources

After no kings, it’s time to escalate

by Eric Blanc · Labor Politics · Read full article

American democracy is on the ropes. Trump and his billionaire backers are doing everything possible to transform our country into an authoritarian state like Hungary or Russia, where the trappings of institutional democracy mask brazen autocratic rule.

Our president’s sinking popularity numbers might not matter so much if his administration is either able to ignore electoral results or to distort the electoral map so badly that there’s almost no way to vote Republicans out.

Far too many Democrats and union leaders naively hoped that the courts would save us. But the Supreme Court has given a green light to Trump’s power grab, and it appears poised to overturn Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, the last major legal roadblock to prevent Republicans from disenfranchising millions of Democrats and Black voters across the South.

Are we cooked? Trump would certainly like us to believe he’s unstoppable. Faced with the administration’s relentless offensive against immigrants, free speech, public services, and majoritarian rule, it’s normal to sometimes succumb to despair. But there’s no need to throw in the towel — and there are concrete next steps we can all take to win back the country through nonviolent resistance. As Chicago Teachers Union (CTU) president Stacy Davis Gates reminds us, Trumpism “won’t be stopped just in the courts or at the ballot box.”

Reasons for Hope

Of the many good reasons why you shouldn’t give up hope, the first is that popular resistance is growing, as seen in the recent Indivisible-initiated No Kings day protests, the largest in US history. Second, Trump’s policies are unpopular, and large numbers of Americans are searching for a viable alternative. Third, if opposition to authoritarianism and economic mismanagement becomes wide enough, an anti-Trump electoral wave in 2026 and 2028 might still be large enough to swamp electoral machinations. Fourth, Trump is very old, and it’s not obvious that MAGA can survive its megalomaniac ringleader.

There’s also a fifth, less-discussed reason for avoiding despair: authoritarian episodes abroad have tended to fail. A recent research paper by Marina Nord and four co-authors analyzed all authoritarian episodes since 1900 and found that a surprisingly large number have been stopped and reversed within five years — a process they call “U-Turns.” Their paper found that “52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years.” (See Figure 1)

Autocratization can be defeated through ...