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Weekend update #185: The week of contrasts

Phillips P. O'Brien constructs a jarring narrative of moral inversion, arguing that the global hierarchy of corruption and strategic restraint has flipped. In a week defined by Russian terror and American self-dealing, the author posits that Ukraine is the only major power actively prosecuting its own elite while maintaining a disciplined, non-criminal approach to warfare. This is not a standard battlefield report; it is a stark indictment of institutional decay in Washington and Moscow, contrasted against the painful but necessary accountability emerging in Kyiv.

The Asymmetry of Violence

O'Brien opens by detailing a brutal Russian offensive that targeted civilians with unprecedented ferocity. He notes that this assault, involving nearly 1,600 drones and dozens of missiles, was timed specifically to disrupt a ceasefire meant to facilitate a Russian military parade. The human cost was immediate and severe. "Across Ukraine 24 people were killed (three of them children) with more than 150 wounded, making it one of the bloodiest and most criminal nights of the war."

Weekend update #185: The week of contrasts

The author highlights the sophistication of the Russian attack, noting the deployment of newer jet-powered Shahed drones. While Ukraine's air defenses performed admirably—claiming to intercept 95% of the drones and 41 of 56 missiles—the residual damage was catastrophic. O'Brien writes, "Even this interception rate meant that a large number of drones and too many missiles would have hit their target and done real and deadly damage." This framing is crucial; it refuses to let high interception rates obscure the reality that civilians were still being slaughtered in their beds.

"Fighting smart is usually better than fighting brutally."

In response, Ukraine executed a series of strikes that O'Brien argues were strategically superior precisely because they avoided civilian targets. The attacks focused on the Ryazan oil refinery and the Azot chemical plant, the latter being a critical source of ammonium nitrate for explosives. The author emphasizes the discipline of this response: "There was no atrocity in return, just effective strategic operations." This distinction is vital. By targeting the Russian war economy rather than its population, Ukraine is attempting to degrade the enemy's capacity to fight without replicating the moral bankruptcy of the aggressor. Critics might argue that striking energy infrastructure inevitably impacts civilian life, but O'Brien's point stands on the intent and targeting doctrine: the goal was economic strangulation, not terror.

The Corruption of Power

The piece takes a sharp turn to the United States, where O'Brien alleges that corruption has shifted from a systemic risk to the explicit operating system of the executive branch. He details how the President's sons have secured hundreds of millions in Pentagon contracts for their private ventures, including drone startups and robotics firms. The author points to a specific instance involving the President's trading in Palantir stock, noting that "the timing of these transactions... coincided with major administrative actions and public statements that directly impacted Palantir's market valuation."

O'Brien does not mince words about the implications of these disclosures. "The reality is not that the US system has corruption in it these days, it is that corruption is the whole point of the system." He contrasts this with the behavior of Ukrainian officials, specifically the investigation into Andriy Yermak, a former top aide to President Zelensky. Yermak was charged with money laundering related to a luxury residential complex, with authorities moving swiftly to detain him. "In Ukraine, now however, corruption investigations can and are reaching the top," O'Brien observes.

This comparison is the essay's most provocative element. The author suggests that while the US administration is allegedly profiting from the war machine in broad daylight, Ukraine is purging its own ranks to improve war-fighting efficiency. He notes that Yermak's successor, Kirill Budanov, has already begun removing Yermak's cronies, leading to a more effective state apparatus. "This contrast helps explain why the war has developed as it has and why Ukraine is starting to take the initiative."

"In one it is being allowed to function unhindered and in the other there is an attempt to fight it."

One must consider the counterargument that O'Brien's depiction of the US situation relies on allegations that are still unfolding and subject to legal and political interpretation. However, the author's use of specific contract numbers, stock trade dates, and public statements creates a detailed mosaic that is difficult to dismiss as mere rhetoric. The parallel drawn to the Shahed 136 drone, a weapon of terror that Ukraine has learned to counter, serves as a metaphor here: just as Ukraine adapted to a new threat, the author suggests the US is failing to adapt to a new internal threat of institutional capture.

Bottom Line

Phillips P. O'Brien's strongest move is reframing the war not just as a clash of armies, but as a competition of governance models where the "democratic" side appears to be failing its own ethical tests while the "authoritarian" side faces internal purges. The argument's greatest vulnerability lies in its absolute certainty regarding the nature of US corruption, which remains a subject of intense political debate. Nevertheless, the piece forces a necessary reckoning: if a nation under siege can prosecute its own second-in-command for graft while striking only military targets, the standards for the world's superpowers have become dangerously low.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • HESA Shahed 136

    The article highlights the specific threat of these jet-powered drones, and this entry explains the Iranian manufacturing origins and low-cost design that allowed Russia to deploy them in unprecedented numbers for terror attacks.

  • Andriy Yermak

    While the article mentions his prosecution, this entry details his specific role as Zelensky's chief of staff and the precise nature of the corruption allegations involving defense procurement that illustrate Ukraine's internal anti-corruption efforts.

  • Insider trading

    The author accuses the US administration of buying defense stocks before military announcements, and this entry defines the legal mechanisms and historical precedents for such market manipulation, clarifying the severity of the alleged conflict of interest.

Sources

Weekend update #185: The week of contrasts

by Phillips P. O'Brien · Phillips P. O'Brien · Read full article

Hi All,

It really was a week of contrasts. Ukrainian civilians were pummeled through the air by Russia, with a mass drone/missile attack which was designed at least partly to terrorize Ukrainians. Of course this is nothing new, but the timing, after Ukraine had agreed to a ceasefire to allow Putin to have his ridiculous parade, was notable. No one could have blamed Ukraine if they had lashed out in return, but once again Ukraine took a different path. In the next few days they hammered Russian strategic economic targets and spared civilian ones (as always).

While the Ukrainians were showing the superiority to the Russians in the fighting of the war, they were making it clear that they are far more willing to try and tackle corruption/conflict of interest than Donald Trump’s America. This was a week during which the deep corruption of the administration was displayed like never before. Not only were Trump family members involved deeply in Pentagon contracts, there was clear evidence that the President himself was buying and selling defense stocks and even tweeting about them after purchase to try and raise the price. Ukraine, on the other hand, continued its prosecution for corruption of Andriy Yermak, who had been Zelensky’s right hand man and many people thought a real power behind the throne. While both states have corruption problems, in one it is being allowed to function unhindered and in the other there is an attempt to fight it.

The contrasts in both cases are clear, perhaps surprising, and I would argue revealing about how things have developed as they have in all three countries.

Russia Slaughters Civilians.

In the end, Putin seems to have been embarrassed by the spectacle (or lack thereof) surrounding his May 9 Victory Parade. Not only was the short event, with no large military equipment, itself a damp squib, Putin also had to beg Trump to intercede on his behalf with Zelensky to even let the parade go ahead. Probably humiliated, Putin lashed out with one of the largest, most demonstrative, and most terroristic attacks of the war against Ukraine.

In a 48-hour period stretching from May 13-15, the Russians sent 1567 attack drones into Ukraine, primarily to attack Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities. This included large numbers of newer jet powered Shaheds, which the Ukrainians have been preparing for for a while. As this mass drone attack was ...