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"Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?": Fed war

A weekend announcement from the Federal Reserve usually means something has gone very wrong. When the Fed calls a Sunday night press conference, investors pay attention — because these meetings typically signal collapses like Bear Sterns in 2008 or the regional banking crisis that took Silicon Valley Bank. Under normal conditions, no one spends their weekends worrying about what the Fed is doing.

So when word got out that the Fed would release an announcement last Sunday, markets braced for another crisis. But this time, the emergency wasn't a failing bank or a credit freeze. It was something far more disturbing: a direct legal assault from the White House.

"Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?": Fed war

The Attack on Powell

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell appeared in an extraordinary video message announcing that the Department of Justice had served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas. The threat was a criminal indictment over cost overruns in renovations of the Fed's headquarters — a project involving the removal of toxic asbestos and lead from 1930s-era buildings.

Powell did not reach for the usual polite central bank code. He stated plainly that the building project was a mere pretext. The real motivation, he argued, was retaliation: a criminal cudgel being used because the Fed had refused to set interest rates based on preferences from the president.

It was a moment of profound clarity. Powell was sounding the alarm that the independence of the world's most important financial institution — a cornerstone of global capital markets — was in immediate jeopardy.

The President's Historical Relationship with the Fed

To understand why a criminal subpoena is such a radical departure from the norm, it helps to look at the long and often rocky relationship between American presidents and the Federal Reserve. Friction is not a new invention.

Since the Fed was founded in 1913, presidents have regularly been unhappy with interest rates — and they haven't been shy about saying so. Lyndon B. Johnson provided perhaps the most famous example of this tension. In 1965, furious that William McChesney Martin Jr. had raised interest rates, LBJ summoned him to his ranch in Texas for what he called "a trip to the woodshed." Legend has it that the president shoved Martin against a wall, demanding that he lower rates because his boys were dying in Vietnam and he needed cheap money to fund the war.

Despite this physical and verbal intimidation, Martin stood his ground. Eventually, the storm passed and LBJ, recognizing the institutional importance of the Fed's independence, went on to reappoint Martin to the post in 1967.

Decades later, Ronald Reagan's administration faced the challenge of Paul Volcker's aggressive fight against double-digit inflation. Volcker hiked rates as high as 20 percent in the early 1980s to break the back of the price increases that had plagued the 1970s. While Reagan's Treasury Secretary publicly criticized the Fed, Reagan himself famously refused to comment on monetary policy, sticking to a mantra of non-interference and ultimately allowing Volcker to finish the job.

By contrast, George H.W. Bush was never quiet about his belief that Alan Greenspan's refusal to cut rates fast enough cost him the 1992 election.

The Weaponization of Justice

White House pressure is nothing new, but the choice of weapon this time is unprecedented. Past presidents used the bully pulpit or private hearings. They didn't weaponize the Department of Justice to threaten criminal prosecution.

Former Fed Vice Chair Alan Blinder noted that while other presidents have griped — sometimes noisily — none have ever threatened a member of the Federal Reserve Board with criminal charges. This shift moves the conflict out of the realm of political disagreement and into an unprecedented legal assault.

Critics have characterized the use of grand jury subpoenas to influence interest rates as thuggish. It's the kind of tactic usually observed in banana republics, where central bankers don't just risk being fired for failing to provide cheap money — they risk being jailed.

By targeting Jerome Powell with a criminal indictment, the administration has turned a policy debate into a fight for personal liberty. The timing and nature of this legal assault feels less like a well-thought-out investigation and more like a blunt warning.

Powell's term as Fed chair is set to expire this May, so there's no real rush to get him out. The president is expected to announce a successor within weeks. And it appears whoever gets the job will essentially be a loyalist.

If the goal were simply a change in leadership, the administration could have waited for the clock to run out. Instead, by launching a criminal probe now, the White House is possibly aiming to send a clear message to the entire Federal Reserve staff and any potential successor: if you don't obey the president, you might be dragged through the courts and possibly jailed.

The Broader Campaign

This isn't an an isolated threat. It's part of a broader campaign to bring the Fed's board to heel. While Powell faces the DOJ, Governor Lisa Cook is currently fighting for her job in a case that reaches the Supreme Court. While the administration claims that she committed mortgage fraud, the courts have so far blocked her removal.

By keeping multiple board members in the crosshair simultaneously — one for fraud and another for misleading testimony — the administration is creating an environment where caving to political pressure feels like the only way to survive.

The Cost Overrun Hypocrisy

The cost overrun pretext becomes particularly transparent when compared to the administration's own projects. The DOJ is threatening Powell with a criminal indictment over a 35 percent increase in the Fed's decade-long headquarters renovation — a project involving the removal of toxic asbestos and lead from 1930s-era buildings.

Yet at the very same time, the White House's own project to replace the East Wing with a new ballroom has seen its estimated cost double from $200 million to $400 million in just six months. By bypassing standard oversight to launch a criminal grand jury investigation while ignoring its own runaway costs, the administration has made one thing clear: this isn't about fiscal responsibility.

It's a thuggish attempt to not just control Powell, but to send a chilling message to any public official trying to do their job for the benefit of the American people. It demonstrates that the penalty for professional integrity is no longer just a loss of status — it's a full-scale assault on your reputation, your savings, and your freedom.

The Financial Ruin

The cost of defending against this kind of legal assault is staggering. While Jerome Powell's salary of $246,000 per year puts him well above the average American worker, it's a pittance compared to the cost of a top-tier criminal defense. Defending against a Department of Justice grand jury investigation can easily run into millions of dollars.

For Powell and Governor Lisa Cook, the reality is that the legal process itself — even without a conviction — can lead to financial ruin. This financial pressure is made worse by what looks like a calculated effort to isolate them.

The administration has used a series of executive orders to target major law firms, signaling that representing enemies of the administration could lead to the loss of government contracts or retaliatory investigations. By making it professionally dangerous for top-tier attorneys to even take these cases, the White House is essentially dismantling the right to a fair defense. It leaves independent public servants to face the full weight of the state's legal machinery entirely alone.

The People Behind the Attack

The current crisis didn't emerge in a vacuum. It's been steered by a new guard of officials who view institutional norms as obstacles to be dismantled.

Chief among them is Bill Py, the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Before taking his current post, Py reportedly deleted around 25,000 tweets — some described as an attempt to hide his temperament and past policy positions from public scrutiny.

Now, the man who once showed up at bizarre livestream events where attendees paid hundreds of dollars to slap each other with green dildos — a visual metaphor for rising stock prices — is the director of the typically staid FHFA, where he reportedly lobbies the president with literal wanted posters of Jerome Powell.

His presence is so disruptive that it recently led to a physical confrontation with Treasury Secretary Scott Bastien. At a private dinner in September, Bastien reportedly had to be restrained after threatening to punch Py in the face for badmoulying him to the president and overstepping his authority.

Working alongside Py is Judge Janine Pirro, the US attorney for D.C., who has spearheaded the move toward grand jury subpoenas. To the American public, Pirro is best known not as a prosecutor, but as a Fox News host where she was famous for delivering fiery monologues in defense of Donald Trump. Her transition to the nation's most powerful prosecutor's office has been described as a federal takeover of D.C. law enforcement by the president's closest allies.

Critics might note that the administration could argue these investigations have genuine merit — that cost overruns at the Fed deserve scrutiny, and that the renovation project genuinely did run over budget. But the timing and targeting suggest something more calculated than fiscal accountability.

"This isn't about fiscal responsibility. It's a thuggish attempt to not just control Powell, but to send a chilling message to any public official trying to do their job for the benefit of the American people."

Bottom Line

The strongest part of this argument is the historical comparison — showing that while presidents have always complained about Fed interest rates, weaponizing grand jury subpoenas represents a dangerous new threshold. The piece's biggest vulnerability is structural: it relies heavily on inference and unnamed sources ("one CEO told the FT") rather than documented evidence of explicit orders from the White House. What readers should watch for next is whether Powell chooses to fight or resign — and whether any judges will actually grant the administration authority to remove Cook from the board. The legal machinery has been deployed; now comes the question of whether anyone will successfully push back against it.

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Sources

"Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?": Fed war

by Patrick Boyle · Patrick Boyle · Watch video

Donald Conn, the former vice chair of the Federal Reserve, recently told the FT Economic Show the story of how during the global financial crisis, Ben Bernani used to joke that his memoirs would one day be titled Before Japan Opens. The joke referred to the Fed's frantic weekend efforts during that period to get emergency announcements out on a Sunday night aimed at stabilizing global markets before the Monday morning bell in Tokyo. Historically, these Sunday night announcements are quite rare because the Fed values stability above all else. Unscheduled weekend announcements are the sort of thing worth worrying about as they tend to be about terrible situations.

the 2008 collapses of Bear Sterns and Lehman Brothers, the emergency liquidity injections at the onset of the pandemic in 2020, and the regional banking crisis a few years ago that claimed Silicon Valley Bank amongst others. Under normal conditions, investors don't spend their weekends worrying about what's going on at the Fed. So, when they hear there will be a Sunday night announcement, they sit up and take note. The recent silence from the Fed was shattered last Sunday.

But this time, the emergency was not a failing bank or a credit freeze. It was a direct legal assault from the White House. Jerome Powell, the datadriven Fed chair appointed by Donald Trump in 2018, appeared in an extraordinary video message announcing that the Department of Justice had just served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas. The threat was a criminal indictment over Powell's congressional testimony regarding cost overruns in renovations of the Fed's headquarters.

Powell did not reach for the usual polite central bank code. He stated plainly that the building project was a mere pretext. The real motivation, he argued, was retaliation, a criminal cudgel being used because the Fed had refused to set interest rates based on the preferences of the president. It was a moment of profound clarity.

Powell was sounding the alarm that the independence of the world's most important financial institution, a cornerstone of global capital markets, was in immediate jeopardy. The environment leading up to this announcement has been quite unusual. While the stakes in finance are high, the silence from corporate leaders has been quite telling. An article in the Financial Times this past Thursday highlighted the pervasive fear amongst corporate leaders.

It quoted the CEO of a major Wall Street firm ...