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192. "One first" turns three!

Steve Vladeck's third-anniversary reflection on his Supreme Court newsletter does more than celebrate milestones; it delivers a stark warning that the judiciary is actively dismantling its own legitimacy while the public remains largely unaware. The piece is notable not for its nostalgia, but for its data-driven assertion that the Court's most dangerous shifts are happening in the shadows, away from the cases that dominate headlines. Vladeck argues that the erosion of judicial independence is not a future threat but a present reality, accelerated by a Court that increasingly views itself as unaccountable to the other branches of government.

The Shadow of Unaccountability

Vladeck frames the last three years not as a period of stability, but of "upheaval," where the Court's behavior has become a story unto itself. He writes, "It's not just that the Court has become ever more of a lightning rod across an ever-broadening array of contemporary legal and political topics; it's that the Court's (and the justices') behavior has become a series of stories unto themselves." This observation is crucial because it shifts the focus from the outcome of specific rulings to the procedural mechanisms used to reach them. The author points to the rise of the "shadow docket"—emergency orders issued without full briefing or oral argument—as a primary vehicle for this shift. As Vladeck notes, the Court is "regularly having major effects on all of our lives (and our system of government) even away from the cases receiving plenary review."

192. "One first" turns three!

This framing is particularly potent when contextualized with the recent history of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). Vladeck highlights a specific moment of clarity: "Friday night's intervention by Justice Jackson in the SNAP case may well be Exhibit A for the importance of providing folks with this kind of resource." While the Court's majority moved to block food aid without a full trial, it was the dissent that illuminated the human cost of such procedural shortcuts. The sheer volume of engagement with this specific analysis—garnering over 450,000 views—suggests a public desperate for clarity on how these opaque mechanisms work. Critics might argue that focusing on procedural opacity distracts from the substantive legal debates, but Vladeck's data suggests the public is far more concerned with how decisions are made than the abstract legal theory behind them.

"The most pressing issue when it comes to the courts (and the Court) today is the increasingly rapid decline in the public's confidence in the judiciary—and the implications of that decline for the persistence of the rule law in our Republic."

The Crisis of Institutional Trust

The core of Vladeck's argument is that the Court is turning its back on the idea of accountability. He points to Justice Samuel Alito's claim that Congress lacks the power to regulate the Supreme Court, noting that while Alito may be "literally incorrect," he is "reflecting the zeitgeist." This distinction is vital; it suggests that the Court's institutional culture has shifted toward a belief in absolute immunity, regardless of the legal text. Vladeck writes, "A common theme across all of these developments is the Court increasingly turning its back on the idea that it is—and ought to be—accountable to those other institutions."

This sentiment is not isolated to the Supreme Court. Vladeck connects the dots to a broader pattern of institutional friction, citing the Deputy Attorney General's suggestion that the Justice Department is at "war" with lower courts. He also references a Reagan appointee who retired specifically to speak out against the "existential threat to democracy and the rule of law" posed by the current administration's assaults on judicial independence. By weaving these disparate events together, Vladeck constructs a narrative of systemic collapse rather than isolated incidents. He argues that the decline in trust is not merely a political reaction but a structural failure: "To pretend that it isn't a problem, or that it's a problem caused only by those who have identified it as a problem, is to bury our heads in the sand."

The author's personal journey—from writing a book on the shadow docket to launching a newsletter—serves as a microcosm of this larger crisis. He admits that the volume of content required to explain these developments has become a "labor of love" that is increasingly defined by the "labor" part. This intensity underscores the urgency of the situation. As Vladeck puts it, "It's hard to imagine that going away anytime soon." The sheer frequency of these crises, requiring constant explanation and analysis, is itself evidence of the Court's departure from traditional norms.

The Path Forward

Vladeck concludes by emphasizing the need for a nuanced understanding of the Court's operations, arguing that "the more we think about the Court (and the courts) as an institution, the more we might agree on where things have gone wrong and where, how, and why to fix them." He rejects the notion that one must agree with every ruling to support the institution, stating, "It's become too easy, in our current climate, for folks to sanction whatever rulings and behavior lead to results of which they approve; to criticize whatever rulings and behavior don't." This call for institutional fidelity over partisan alignment is the piece's most compelling moral argument. It challenges readers to separate their policy preferences from their commitment to the rule of law.

However, a counterargument worth considering is whether this call for institutional preservation is sufficient in the face of what Vladeck himself describes as an "existential threat." If the Court is actively undermining the rule of law, does defending its institutional role inadvertently legitimize its overreach? Vladeck acknowledges this tension but suggests that without a shared understanding of the Court's role, any attempt at reform is impossible. He writes, "We're never going to agree on how to fix [the decline in the public's trust of the courts]—just as we're not going to agree on exactly what caused that decline in the first place." This humility in the face of deep disagreement is both the piece's strength and its limitation; it offers a path to understanding but not necessarily a solution to the immediate crisis.

Bottom Line

Vladeck's most powerful contribution is his insistence that the Court's procedural maneuvers are as significant as its substantive rulings, a point underscored by the public's voracious appetite for his analysis of the shadow docket. The piece's greatest vulnerability lies in its reliance on a public that may be too polarized to accept the call for institutional neutrality, yet it remains an essential roadmap for anyone seeking to understand the fragility of the American judiciary today.

Deep Dives

Explore these related deep dives:

  • Shadow docket

    The article explicitly references 'The Shadow Docket' book and the 'don't call it the shadow docket' docket as central to understanding the Court's changing behavior. This Wikipedia article explains the procedural mechanism that has become increasingly controversial.

  • Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program

    The article mentions Justice Jackson's intervention in 'the SNAP case' as a major example of the newsletter's impact. Understanding SNAP provides essential context for why this Supreme Court intervention generated such public interest.

  • Judicial independence

    The article discusses Justice Alito's claim that Congress cannot regulate the Supreme Court and the Court 'turning its back on accountability.' This Wikipedia article provides the theoretical framework for understanding debates about court independence versus accountability.

Sources

192. "One first" turns three!

by Steve Vladeck · One First · Read full article

Welcome back to “One First,” a newsletter that aims to make the U.S. Supreme Court more accessible to lawyers and non-lawyers alike. I’m grateful to all of you for your continued support, and I hope that you’ll consider sharing some of what we’re doing with your networks:

The First Three Years of One First.

Three years ago today, “One First” went live. Although I do the bulk of the writing, the reality is that this entire operation was actually the brainchild of my wife, Karen. After I finished writing The Shadow Docket in 2022, Karen felt strongly that I needed to be one of the voices out there trying to explain Supreme Court decisions and procedure at a more widely accessible (and more frequent) level. So we spent a bunch of nights after our two daughters went to sleep brainstorming how to pull that off. Karen eventually suggested a periodic newsletter—and, as usual, she was right.

A lot has changed in our lives since then. First, for those who have been following us for a while, we left Texas in 2024 to return back to D.C., where I joined the faculty at Georgetown Law last summer. Karen has continued to thrive professionally, launching Risepoint Search Partners—a legal recruiting firm—at roughly the same time. The newsletter has, ironically, been a constant even as we’ve embarked upon these exciting life changes.

I’ve also been trying to think through other ways of pursuing the same goal of raising the level of public understanding and discourse relating to the Supreme Court—from launching a TikTok to signing on to write a second book about the Court, this time with Viking, which will take a more macro look at the Court, including how we got to where we are today; and how (and why) we should fix it.

And last, our two daughters, who at the time of the launch still seemed so very young, are growing into awesome tweens who make us laugh—and keep us on our toes—every day. Indeed, our younger daughter Sydney remarked the other day that “I can’t believe people actually read that thing” (meaning this newsletter). There’s nothing like young kids—especially daughters—to keep you humble.

Of course, there’s been even more upheaval out in the world—especially with respect to what I’ve always thought of as the newsletter’s bread-and-butter, i.e., the Supreme Court’s relationship with the other institutions of government and with ...